TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WATCH STATEMENT
ANTIGUA
AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:15 PM ECT FRI, AUG 13, 2021
THIS IS FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
..SMALL TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN EXPECTED TO BECOME TROPICAL STORM GRACE TOMORROW...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA IN 36 HOURS. A WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
AT 1100 PM (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST OR ABOUT 742 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH (35 KM/H). A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT, OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO ON SUNDAY, AND THEN OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB (29.83 INCHES).
BASED UPON THE LATEST POSITION AND ANALYSES, TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY AS A TROPICAL STORM. SKIES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY AND INTO MOST OF SUNDAY. RAINFALL TOTAL IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES ARE ALSO LIKELY AND COULD LEAD TO FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS.
WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH, THAT IS WINDS OF UP TO 50 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DEPRESSION.
SEAS WILL DETERIORATE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE DEPRESSION AND COULD PEAK NEAR 2.8 METRES OR 9 FEET. MARINERS SHOULD STAY IN PORT BEGINNING LATE SATURDAY AND ON SUNDAY.
AT THIS TIME, NO PARTICULAR ACTION IS REQUIRED OF RESIDENTS OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS OTHER THAN TO KEEP MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.
FORECASTER
LETITIA HUMPHREYS